Research
2026 Outlook: The Policy Engine
In 2026, we observed a market environment where fiscal and monetary policy decisions, rather than traditional business fundamentals, were the primary drivers of market direction. This shift means that policy influence and market momentum have become significantly more impactful in shaping market trends, often overshadowing underlying economic performance…
Private Credit Under Pressure: Liquidity Mismatches in an AI-Disrupted Cycle
LPL Research examines recent private credit activity in the face of growing sophistication from AI.
Why Oil Prices Matter Less — But Still Move Headline Inflation
LPL Research explains how America’s declining reliance on oil and rising geopolitical risks shape inflation, growth expectations, and volatility in 2026.
Navigating Market Volatility During the Iran Crisis
In our 2026 Outlook: The Policy Engine, we listed several risks to stocks that could prevent the S&P 500 from achieving our forecast for high-single-digit returns in 2026 (to a fair value target range of 7,300–7,400).
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